Monday, December 1, 2025

British industry reels from year-long slump: Factories crippled by Labour tax hikes

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The crisis in British industry has deepened after manufacturing suffered its biggest fall in five months and the slump plaguing the sector extended to a year.

The closely-watched purchasing managers’ index (PMI) of activity in UK factories fell to 46.2 in September from 47 in August – where 50 separates growth from contraction.

It was the 12th month in a row below 50, signalling that Britain’s factories have been in decline for a full year since October, when Rachel Reeves delivered her last Budget.

Employment numbers fell for the 11th month running and job losses ‘remained marked’, the survey found, with much of the blame laid on the Chancellor’s raid on employer National Insurance and increase in the minimum wage.

A downturn in new orders from clients was blamed on subdued confidence, US tariff uncertainty and higher costs both for energy and staff. 

At the same time, the shutdown at Britain’s biggest car maker Jaguar Land Rover after a cyber attack has disrupted firms in JLR’s supply chain.

Slowdown: The shutdown at Britain’s biggest car maker Jaguar Land Rover (pictured) after a cyber attack has disrupted firms in JLR’s supply chain

Slowdown: The shutdown at Britain’s biggest car maker Jaguar Land Rover (pictured) after a cyber attack has disrupted firms in JLR’s supply chain

JLR said earlier this week that manufacturing would restart in the ‘coming days’ and workers were on standby to resume tomorrow, though this could stretch into next week.

The disruption at JLR is just one of a series of crises darkening the outlook for British industry – and creating a headache for the Government. 

Elsewhere, relentless pressure on the steel sector has been added to by Donald Trump’s tariffs – prompting ministers to step in to rescue Scunthorpe-based British Steel.

Meanwhile, the Lindsey oil refinery in Lincolnshire fell into administration in June.

In Humberside, a key factory producing bioethanol – a component in motor fuels – has closed after Britain’s trade deal with the US opened the door to cheap American imports.

And in the North Sea, oil and gas bosses say 1,000 jobs a month are being lost as a painful ‘windfall tax’ on profits bites.

Rob Dobson, director at S&P global market intelligence, which compiled the PMI figures, said they represented ‘worrying news for the health of UK industry’. 

He added: ‘Manufacturers are facing an increasingly challenging environment, with intakes of new business and levels of production hit by weak market sentiment, a dearth of new export work and a high cost environment exacerbated by tax and labour cost rises.

‘Companies entwined into the auto supply chain are also facing a temporary hit to activity following the cyber attack on JLR.

‘The tough operating environment is seeping through to business confidence, leading to an increased focus on cost cutting.’

Manufacturing accounts for about 9 per cent of the UK economy.

Mike Thornton, head of industrials at accounting firm RSM UK, said the figures suggested the sector was ‘showing a continued downward trend rather than a seasonal dip in August’. 

He added: ‘Sustained contraction suggests manufacturers are scaling back operations to mitigate deteriorating market conditions with little sign of a rebound in the short term. So businesses should expect a stagnant outlook for the rest of the year.’

Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the latest PMI figures ‘paint a bleak picture’, adding: ‘The manufacturing PMI has been sending a consistent signal that sentiment remains weak in the sector, in contrast to the services industry where businesses remain more optimistic.’

…but Footsie shrugs off gloom with new record 

The FTSE 100 index raced to a new high as investors brushed off fears about the UK economy and US government shutdown.

On an upbeat day for investors, London’s blue-chip index closed up 1 per cent or 96 points, at 9446,43, surpassing the record-breaking close of a day earlier.

The rally was despite growing fears over the upcoming Budget as Chancellor Rachel Reeves mulls another punishing set of tax rises to cover her lavish spending.

Investors were in bullish mood despite the shutdown of the US government – the 15th such funding freeze since 1981 – after politicians failed to pass a new financial package.

The US government paused much of its operations yesterday, furloughing 750,000 federal workers, as partisan divisions stopped Congress and the White House from reaching a deal.

With no agreement in sight, tomorrow’s crucial US jobs report looks set to be delayed, muddying the waters as the Federal Reserve contemplates further rate cuts.

But hopes the central bank would press ahead with lowering borrowing costs offered the market support.

The Footsie also benefited from a rally in pharmaceutical stocks after US giant Pfizer and Donald Trump struck a deal to lower drug prices in exchange for tariff relief. 

London-listed AstraZeneca jumped 11.2 per cent, or 1254p, to 12,436p, and GSK was up 6.2 per cent, or 97p, at 1671.5p, helping propel the Footsie to its new high.

Meanwhile, there was enough uncertainty to send the price of gold – seen as a safe haven – to a fresh record of $3,895 an ounce.

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